The Insider Trading Desk — insidertradingdesk.com

Color key

Pale green = scheduled buy · Medium green = discretionary buy. Pale red = scheduled sell · Medium red = discretionary sell. Purple outline = major stake change on an individual trade.

Trump posts

Panel color reflects post tone toward the stock: green = supporting/praising the company, red = calling out or criticizing, amber = mixed (praise + pressure). Tags show Supporting / Calling out explicitly. Separate tags show stock move since post (7-day and next-day).

Recency

Each panel shows when the trade was reported and how long ago. Filter by timeframe using the dropdown next to sort options.

Click for detail

Every trade panel opens a full detail view with filing data, conviction reads, performance, and sources. Use ← Back or Escape to return.

Full trade record

Inside a panel, click any entity name or ticker to open a chronological timeline of every trade we track for that person or symbol.

Private markets

Click any Private trade panel for a full company profile: secondary pricing (Forge / NPM), valuation over time, planned IPO status, key investors, and every liquidity event we track.

Prediction markets

Kalshi / Polymarket filter shows CFTC-regulated and on-chain event contracts — elections, macro, crypto strikes, and geopolitics from the past year.

Conviction scores

Conviction is a 0–100 read of how deliberate a trade looks relative to context — not a prediction of returns. Two separate models apply depending on category.

Congress buys

Compared against that politician's own history in our archive — not the market.

Base 40 — neutral starting point
+20 first tracked buy in this ticker
+15 adding to same ticker within 90 days · +5 if returning after a gap
−10 if they previously sold this name (possible flip)
+18 trade size ≥ 1.5× their median buy · −8 if ≤ half their typical size
+12 options / calls / puts (leveraged vehicle)
+8 discretionary buy (not a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan)
+10 cluster of 2+ buys across names in the prior 60 days

≥70 High · 50–69 Moderate · 35–49 Routine · <35 Low

Options chain anomalies

Scored from volume vs open interest, moneyness, and whether the name is an index ETF.

Likely conviction — call volume ≥ 4× OI with size, or near-the-money call surge ≥ 2.5× OI; deep OTM puts with fresh opening flow
Likely hedge — index SPY/QQQ flow, near-the-money puts protecting stock, or volume < 2× OI (closing/rolling)
Speculative / lotto — deep OTM calls (>4% above spot) with very high volume
Unclear — elevated flow without a clean vol/OI spike

Score starts at 50; hedge/lotto patterns subtract, fresh directional opening adds.

High-conviction congress buys and options conviction reads surface in the Today's read summary and trade detail panels.

Disclosure lag: Days between trade and public report. Congress allows up to 45 days; insiders must file Form 4 within 2 business days.
Amount: Reported value or range from the filing. Congress uses broad brackets ($1M–$5M). Sort by Largest uses midpoint estimates.

Sources

Congress: STOCK Act periodic transaction reports (PTR) via House Clerk or Senate eFD.
Insiders: SEC Form 4 (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and Form 13F (institutional quarterly).
Markets: Polymarket, Kalshi, on-chain whale trackers, and options flow aggregators.
Options chain: Live scan of listed options for vol/OI spikes and hedge vs conviction reads. Purple dashed = chain anomaly from Yahoo Finance data.
Rumors: Unverified chatter from Reddit, Stocktwits, Yahoo Finance trending, and press citing social buzz — only high-activity signals. Each item includes type, credibility score, what is known vs unknown, and how to verify before acting. No filing on record.

Data sources

Primary filings plus public market coverage. Each trade links out to all applicable sources.

Performance

Stock % change after the event (1d / 7d / 30d). Not predictive. Past performance ≠ future results.

Insider TradingDesk

Congressional trades

Trade record